MolBasis
A.IMPROVE1-termHansen Solubility Parameters · n=705

HSP · δ_h

Hansen H-bonding parameter · MPa^½

closed-form kernel
ŷ = β₀ + β₁ · z(hb_acceptor_mass^0.25)
0.768
nested-CV r
in-sample, winner's-curse-safe
0.759
scaffold-blind r
25% held-out OOD
+31.8%
blind MAE-vs-NULL lift
gate = +30%
2.58
MAE (MPa^½)
grouped-LOO

In-sample → out-of-distribution

How the correlation holds when moving to unseen scaffolds.

nested-CV r (in-sample)0.768
scaffold-blind r (OOD)0.759
Blind MAE-vs-NULL lift31.8%

Vertical marker = the +30% production gate.

Blind calibration slope

Slope of measured vs predicted on the blind set. 1.0 = no magnitude compression.

0.70
slope (ideal 1.0)
Blind lift holds (≥30%)

What it is

H-bond acceptor surface area is the dominant descriptor for the Hansen H-bonding component. The only HSP component that clears the 30% blind-lift gate.

The physics

The Hansen δ_h parameter measures hydrogen-bonding cohesion; acceptor surface area is its most direct σ-profile proxy.

caveat

δ_p (polar) and δ_d (dispersion) do NOT clear the gate — they ship as B.UNDERFIT.

How the methods compare

Hansen parameters are dominated by group-contribution tables (Stefanis–Panayiotou / HSPiP). This kernel derives δ_h directly from hydrogen-bond acceptor surface area — a physical quantity — instead of counting functional groups. δ_p and δ_d remain honestly under-fit on current physics.

Input cost

Per-molecule compute/data burden to predict a new molecule — shorter is cheaper.

Stefanis–Panayiotou (group contribution)2D structure (pencil / inference)
Van Krevelen / Hansen–Beerbower2D structure (pencil / inference)
ML (XGBoost / CatBoost on HSPiP)2D structure (pencil / inference)
HSP · δ_h · this kernelone QM calculation (SCF)
COSMO-RS σ-moment mappingone QM calculation (SCF)

What each method needs

External dependencies each method carries. An amber dot means the method requires it — fewer dots means fewer things to procure or that can go wrong.

Method3D geometryMD / samplingtraining corpusa measured valueproprietary paramsdeps
HSP · δ_h · this kernel1
Stefanis–Panayiotou (group contribution)1
Van Krevelen / Hansen–Beerbower0
ML (XGBoost / CatBoost on HSPiP)1
COSMO-RS σ-moment mapping2

This kernel needs only a 3D geometry for its one SCF — no MD, no training corpus, no measured value, no proprietary software.

Competing methods

How this property is predicted elsewhere — with the input each method needs (a key differentiator) and the literature reference. Numbers are each method’s own reported figure on its own benchmark, so they are indicative, not a head-to-head on an identical split.

MethodClassReported performanceInput neededReference
HSP · δ_hthis kernelclosed-formPearson r 0.768 (nested-CV) · 0.759 scaffold-blind · MAE 2.58 MPa^½one DFT SCF σ-profile · no training set · no MDMF-FQSL (this lab)
Stefanis–Panayiotou (group contribution)group-contributionThe standard GC route; 1st + 2nd-order groups, implemented in HSPiP2D functional-group counts (UNIFAC + conjugation groups)Stefanis & Panayiotou, Int. J. Thermophys. 2008
Van Krevelen / Hansen–Beerbowergroup-contributionClassic additive GC; component-dependent accuracy2D functional-group countsVan Krevelen; Hansen, HSP Handbook 2007
ML (XGBoost / CatBoost on HSPiP)ML / GNNRecent gradient-boosted models on the extended HSPiP corpusmolecular descriptors + the HSPiP training setrecent HSP ML studies (2023–2024)
COSMO-RS σ-moment mappingphysicsHSP from σ-profile moments; parametrisation-dependentDFT σ-profileKlamt; σ-moment → HSP correlations

Metrics are as published by each method on its own dataset (different splits, different cohorts) — treat them as an orientation of the landscape, not a controlled benchmark. The differentiator for this kernel is the input column: a single closed-form solve from one σ-profile, with no training corpus, no MD, and no measured melting point.

Descriptors used

acceptorhb_acceptor_mass — hydrogen-bond acceptor surface area (σ-degree classified)

Version history

  1. 2026-05-29v0.91.1 ship

    +40% lift vs NULL in-sample; blind r=0.759, lift +31.8%, slope 0.971 (no compression).